More progress. I made $100 last night, brining me even closer to my goal. I don't think earning the entire $1,000 is going to be likely. But getting at least $500 for the week should definitely be possible. I already went ahead and transferred my online cash around, putting $1k in Full Contact Poker. Then I officially signed up for the tournament.
There were already over 200 people signed up. I'm hoping that they're mostly people who came in via qualifiers. Since the qualifiers were mostly winner-take-all tournaments, the dominant strategy would be to play hyper aggressive and take a lot of risks. The strategy for this big game will be to avoid unnecessary risks until the rising blinds force you to switch gears. If I'm lucky, most of the players won't be adjusting their game.
It's actually going to be pretty tough until I get a good read on my opponents. You want to avoid big risks, but on the other hand that's what the other good players will be doing. In that case, you'd then want to be aggressive and force them to fold pots to you.
So I think I'm just going to stick to my favorite strategy at the beginning. I'll play very few hands, sticking mostly to good cards. But whenever I'm in a hand, I'll stay aggressive no matter what I get. I'll have to do a lot of bobbing & weaving, staying away from anyone who seems to actually like their hand. I'll also try not to tangle with anyone who has more chips than me, not unless I'm confident enough that going all-in will double me up.
Later in the tournament, once the blinds get large compared to my stack, I'll switch to a faster gear. I'll start trying to steal the blinds more often, make some ballsy plays if I sense weakness, and pretty much try to punish any player that's still playing too tight. At least that's the plan. But depending on how close I am to the prize structure, I might just buckle down and try to get into the money. Even just doubling my entry fee would be huge.
So yeah, that's the plan. Hopefully there won't be too many more signups. With $1M guaranteed, any less than 1,000 players is a good deal. But more than 400 will make it very tough to win.